Stock of the Week

Performance of Our STOCK OF THE WEEK selections are listed here. For comparison purposes, we show equal investments in the S&P 500 index and Treasury Bonds. The net results will show how our selections have fared relative to the broad market. We are experience amateur investors writing for entertainment and educational purposes only. We have enjoyed much success in the past but the past offers no guarantee of future performance

Friday, May 27, 2005

WE ARE GETTING OLD!

This morning my wife and I received an email that concluded with "I will fear no evil". Of course, we recognized the quote from the 23rd Psalm. However, when we each tried to recite the Psalm from memory we failed. We are getting old!

We opened an NIV study bible to get over the problem verse and we had no problem finishing from there. We each learned the King James version and were struck by the differences in the NIV version. Here is the NIV version:

The Lord is my shepherd. I shall not be in want.
He makes me lie down in green pastures,
he leads me beside quiet waters,
he restores my soul.
He guides me in paths of righteousness
for his name sake.
Even thought I walk
through the valley of the shadow of death,
I will fear no evil,
for you are with me;
your rod and your staff,
they comfort me.

You prepare a table before me
in the presence of my enemies.
You anoint my head with oil;
my cup overflows.
Surely goodness and love will follow me
all the days of my life,
and I will dwell in the house of the Lord
forever.

A little later in the morning, a real estate attorney asked for social security numbers. For the past 33 years I have always been able to recite mine and my wife's. This morning I mixed the two.

I don't know if there is anything I can do about my memory loss. As an investor, it is clear that I should focus more on health care issues. There are 76 million baby boomers. I think it is a chart in one of Harry Dent's books that shows how 55 year old people take 7 times the number of prescription medicine now as did 55 year old people 20 years or so ago.

David Dreman, a Forbes magazine contributor and the author of a series of books about contrarian investment philosophy, has shown that the time to buy an industry is about a year after it goes through a very tough time. I have not checked the dates but the Merck, Pfizer controversy is old news. Pfizer is 20% below its 2002 high. Companies such as UNH, one of my families long-term holdings, has done extremely well during the tough times for the drug makers. In the normal business cycle, drug stocks do well late in the cycle. Investors should at least be looking at drug stocks.

BUY THE BIG BULL BOOM BUBBLE BEFORE YOU ARE TOO OLD TO ENJOY PROFITS!

WRONG WAY RAYMOND JAMES

This morning on Squawk box, a Raymond James executive who is "bullish" on stocks advises buying the losers; he calls them the flops. It is interesting to see how many ways prognosticators can present the wrong information.

Study after study has shown that when a market turns, one should buy the leadership. Buying the laggards, losers or flops has been a consistently poor strategy. Granted, there are sideways markets where traders do well for a while by buying dips and selling peaks. We are not in a sideways market. The NASDAQ was up 8 days in a row, retreated a little the 9th day and then was up 16 points yesterday.

William O'Neil and others have built stock selection programs almost exclusively around the idea that one should buy leaders. Others, such as James O'Shaugnessy, who have focused on value stock selections still include leadership (relative strength) in their selection techniques.

The stocks on our companion STOCK OF THE WEEK blog have value characteristics and leadership characteristics. We are delighted to help those who ask for assistance in building a diversified portfolio. Readers sometimes write to ask for general stock recommendations. As private individual investors, we cannot make recommendations. We regularly report about stocks we own and about those that we are considering for investment.

Our Stock of the Week blog is an excellent list of stocks. The list has many of the characteristics of successful stocks my family bought 40 or 50 years ago. We believe individuals need to make the final decision about the allocations of their assets. However, managing a portfolio is both art and science. Most investors would do well to seek assistance. However, most investors need to avoid high cost assistance. There are often conflicts of interest involved in the "sale" of securities. Mutual fund fees are often very high. Mutual fund fees may appear to be low but there are often multiple fees and the fees are expressed as a percentage of assets.

Keep in mind, that is easy to do average in the stock market and average in the market will make you rich if you invest modest amounts regularly over 30 or 40 years. It is also important to know that consistently doing one standard deviation better than average is extremely difficult. Furthermore, those that try to hard to do better than average typically take much more risk than average. One can fail miserably when one tries too hard.

The game of golf provides a good analogy. With only a few lessons, one can reach a level of skill that makes the game enjoyable if one is not frustrated that others do so much better. To be a great golfer, one needs superior natural ability and the energy and temperament to try and try again.

To be a good investor, one needs discipline and patience. To be a great investor, one must work and work and work. In all things there are exceptions, perhaps Bobby Jones and John Maynard Keynes illustrate the point. Bobby Jones kept his amateur status because he was busy studying to be a doctor. He played golf for fun. Keynes made great investment decisions from his death bed. He could read the news each morning, make a number of shrewd investments and sleep the rest of the day.

JC Morgan made a negative call on US stocks today. My family is buying all we can.

BUY THE BIG BULL--STOCKS ARE CHEAP RELATIVE TO BONDS, REAL ESTATE AND MONEY MARKET INSTUMENTS!

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE



Current Value of this Portfolio:
$55.346.97
Simple Return: 16.14%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
S & P 500 Value : $52,252.64
Simple Return: .72%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
Treasury Bond Value : $49,306.14
Simple Return: 2.73%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
As you can see, our STOCK OF THE WEEK portfolio has been outperforming equal investments in the
S & P 500 index and in the TLT Treasury Bond index fund.
Past performance does not guarantee future performance. We make no recommendations!
Please call or write if you have questions about how to make money in stocks, bonds and real estate. You can reach me during office hours at 336-778-0543 or write me

.
STOCKS ARE CHEAP RELATIVE TO BONDS AND REAL ESTATE!
MONEY FLOWS TO THE LOWEST PRICED ASSETS!
BUY THE BIG BULL BOOM BUBBLE!
YOU HAVE TWO TO FOUR YEARS TO MAKE SERIOUS MONEY!

TELEFLEX: A STRONG FOUNDATION

STOCK OF THE WEEK :


Cheap stocks come in all shapes, sizes and industries. This fact makes building a diversified portfolio a joy. It is almost like a good Easter Egg Hunt; some of the best finds take a little more effort but they can be the most rewarding. Investors are hiding from any firm that has anything to do with auto production. Smart investors buy what other investors do not want.

Teleflex Incorporated, Located in Limerick, PA., has designed and manufactured specialty engineered products for more than 60 years. As a leading global supplier to the automotive, marine, industrial, medical and aerospace markets, they are experts in the markets they serve and dedicated to customer service. Teleflex strives to design real-world solutions with products that are practical, cost-effective and reliable. Today, they have revenues exceeding $2 billion, operate in 27 countries, have more than 19,000 employees, and more than 800 patents. Truly a global corporation, Teleflex derives over 40 percent of its revenues from exports and has numerous manufacturing, repair and service facilities in Europe and Asia. Teleflex has a very active international growth program.

Teleflex’s common stock is listed on the NYSE under the symbol TFX The company has increased its cash dividend every year since it began paying dividends in 1977. Jeffrey P. Black, President and CEO of Teleflex recently announced that a cash dividend of ($0.22) per share of common stock would be paid this year. The company offers both a Dividend Reinvestment & Direct Stock Purchase and Sale Plan.

The company is made up of three very different business segments:

Teleflex Aerospace supports commercial and military aircraft, and industrial gas and steam turbines with: comprehensive engineering solutions, in-house design and manufacturing, cargo-handling systems, round-the-clock AOG repairs and spares support.

Teleflex Medical supports health providers along the continuum of care in three main areas: devices for urology, anesthesiology, gastroenterology and respiratory care, surgical instruments and related services and original equipment manufacturers.

Teleflex Commercial business segment consists of three (3) divisions: Teleflex Automotive supplies passenger cars and light trucks with: gearshift mechanisms and knobs, transmission guide controls, electronic throttle control pedals, pedal systems and control cables. Teleflex Industrial product group serves a variety of global industrial markets by designing and manufacturing: gearshift systems, engine and power management controls, light-duty cable systems, fluid handling systems, alternative fuel components and systems. Teleflex Marine cuts through the water as many recreational and commercial boaters depend on them for: mechanical and hydraulic steering systems, throttle and shift controls, marine electronics, engine and drive parts, and marine instrumentation.

The 2005 financial outlook for Teleflex Incorporated, as reported by their President and CEO, Jeffrey P. Black, "From our vantage point today, 2005 looks like it will be a strong year for the company. A focus on cash flow management should increase cash flow from operations by 20 to 25 percent year over year. Cost benefits from the restructuring and divestiture program, accretion from the Hudson Respiratory Care http://www.hudsonrci.com/ acquisition, and the positive impact of portfolio changes in 2004 should improve operating margins across all three business segments. The actions we have taken and our strong balance sheet will enable us to pursue strategic acquisitions in the years ahead." Black added, "In 2005, we will be focused on completing planned divestitures and continuing to execute our announced restructuring program while providing customers with a seamless transition. Fluctuating foreign currency markets, increased corporate costs, and increased tax rates could present some near-term challenges. However, on balance we believe that the benefits of the restructuring program and continued solid core growth will create earnings growth in 2005 and provide a strong foundation for profitable growth in 2006 and beyond."

On Wednesday, May 25th the stock closed at $55.03. Their 52 week high was $56.50 on 5/19/05 and 52 week low was $40.37 on 9/23/04. I thought it was interesting that their stock has split 6 times in the last 27 years. In fact 4 of the 6 times it split in the month of June.

First quarter revenue increased 8% or $626.0 million, compared to $579.7 million for the same period last year. Strong 1st quarter, stock price stock price, restructing well underway and a promising aquisition in the works--what is not to like?

Thursday, May 19, 2005

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE



Current Value of this Portfolio:
$46,229.53
Simple Return: 16.49%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
S & P 500 Value : $43,936.57
Simple Return: .01%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
Treasury Bond Value : $41,125.08
Simple Return: 2.82%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
As you can see, overall individual stocks are outperforming the
S & P 500 and Treasury Bonds with great success.
We sold RGX and took a tax loss of $1024. The proceeds were reinvested in this weeks Stock pick: J. Alexander's
BUY THE BIG BULL BOOM BUBBLE!
Past performance does not guarantee future performance. We make no recommendations!
If you want to talk about the market feel free to call me during office hours at 336-778-0543 or write me

J. Alexander's not your Normal Restaurant

STOCK OF THE WEEK

The oil bubble has popped. Consumers are relieved. After the bills are paid there's a little something left over. It's time to go out to eat.

symbol JAX trades on the American Stock Exchange. The restaurant was formed by three Nashville businessmen in 1971. They operate 27 locations through out Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Ohio, Illinois, Michigan, Kansas, Colorado, and Texas. Jack C. Massey was the company’s principal shareholder, and served as chairman until his death in 1990.

Jack Massey one of the legends in American business, was one of the first health care pioneers founding Hospital Corporation of America (HCA). He is best known in the restaurant industry for his purchase of Kentucky Fried Chicken from Colonel Harland Sanders in 1962. He was chairman of KFC when it listed on the New York stock exchange in 1981. He is the only person to have chaired three companies that listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

Lonnie J. Stout, II is the Company’s current Chairman President and CEO. Under his direction, the company has repositioned all of its assets exclusively into upscale casual dining. The objective is to develop a contemporary American restaurant that focuses on high quality food, outstanding service and great value, but not to rely on gimmicks or themes to be successful. Their concept is an absolute commitment to quality in every aspect of the business. Fresh, high quality, prepared in-house food is the backbone of the concept.

J. Alexander’s differs from most casual dining concepts. The company uses a variety of architectural designs and building finishes to provide its guests with the most attractive environments in the restaurant industry. Original artwork is used as décor accents. J. Alexander’s is not a cookie cutter concept! They are a collection of restaurants dedicated to providing the best dining experience in their segment of the industry. Featuring an interesting array of in-house chef prepared products. Their award-winning menu features hardwood-grilled steaks, baby back ribs, daily fresh seafood selections, soups, burgers and sandwiches.

Friday, May 06, 2005


May 6, 2005
Current Value of this Portfolio:
$44,812.61
Simple Return: 10.12%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
S & P 500 Value : $43,034.75
Simple Return: -2.04%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
Treasury Bond Value : $40,534.81
Simple Return: 1.35%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
Continental Airlines has done well for the past 3 months in the face of a tough market.

American Airlines, US Gypsum and Gamestop also top our list with 25%,26%, and 29% increases respectively. As you can see, overall individual stocks are outperforming the
S & P 500.
BUY THE BIG BULL BOOM BUBBLE!
Past performance does not guarantee future performance. We make no recommendations!

Sunday, May 01, 2005

STOCK OF THE WEEK: MAC-GRAY


Midnight, musty college dorm basement, dirty laundry, not enough quarters and no empty machines! Sound familiar? I wish Mac-Gray had been around during my college days. Mac-Gray offers payment of laundry through college ID cards, allows one to schedule a machine online and the washer will send an email when the load is done!

Years ago, when one of my high school friends needed spending money, he would asked his Dad for the keys to the apartment laundry. In those days, when a gallon of gas was 27 cents and a burger at McDonald's cost 17 cents (15 cents for fries), the quarters from the laundry came in handy. Years latter, as owners of Myrtle Beach rental condos, Marilyn and I enjoyed hearing the stories about the condo operator who has three basement freezers full of quarters. One owner of a few apartment laundromats used to rent our highest priced condo for multiple summer weeks. There is money to be made in the "coin operated" laundry business.

However, the nature of the business is changing. There are still many "Mom and Pop" competitors but smart companies like Mac-Gray are gradually taking over. By replacing the quarter slots with card readers, these companies are eliminating much of the theft and vandalism that plagued the industry in years gone bye while making price adjustments easy, maximizing profit margins and increasing management efficiency.

Mac-Gray is North America’s premier laundry facilities contractor and a provider of other amenities to the multi-housing industry. Mac-Gray http://www.macgray.com/index.html operates two primary businesses – Laundry Facilities Management and Product Sales. Trading on the NYSE under (TUC) since 1997, the company is the nation’s largest laundry facilities contractor for colleges and universities, operating on approximately 500 campuses.

The founder, H. Stewart Gray, sold Maytag wringer washers door-to-door from the back of his Ford truck. During the Great Depression, when most people could not afford their own appliances, he pioneered the “pay as you use” laundry service by installing coin boxes on washing machines. More about the "new" business later but first lets go over the numbers.

Mac-Gray reported record fourth-quarter revenue of $49.7 million, an increase of 23% from 2003 fourth-quarter. For the year ended December 31, 2004, the company reported record revenue of $182.7 million, an increase of 22% from revenue of $149.7 million for 2003.

"For the full year, our results reflect the combination of both record internal growth and record acquisition-related growth. Our core laundry facilities management business posted a 30% increase to $136.7 million in 2004 versus $104.8 million in 2003. The incremental acquisition revenue in 2004 was $28.3 million, in line with our stated projection of an annual run rate of $29 million, and 89% of the division's increase. The margin contribution also met our expectation, as has our success rate in retaining or renegotiating acquired contracts. The organic growth rate of 3%, or $3.6 million, in the division's revenue reflected a record number of net new contracts placed in service, selective vend price increases, and the conversion of coin-operated accounts to card-operation, which leads to higher revenue.” said Stewart MacDonald, Mac-Gray's chairman and chief executive officer.

"The outlook for Mac-Gray is stronger than at any point in recent history, in light of our 2004 results, our second significant asset acquisition, which closed in January 2005,* and our organic growth momentum. With this recent acquisition, which had 2004 revenue of $69.5 million, we extended our footprint to a national scale, augmented our position as the top provider to the college and university market and enhanced our strong, geographically diversified operating platform. In addition, we gained many more opportunities for leveraging our fixed costs through fill-in acquisitions that would increase our density and profitability in certain targeted markets."
"Additionally, apartment occupancy rates, which are a key driver of machine usage and laundry facilities revenue, improved in 2004 in most of our markets, reversing a three-year downturn. Mac-Gray is well positioned as it continues to lead the industry in technology innovation. Our Intelligent Laundry Systems(TM) product suite, led by LaundryView(TM) and PrecisionWash(TM), continues to increase our visibility in the academic community and differentiate us from the competition” concluded MacDonald.

*January 05 Mac-Gray announced its acquisition of the operations of Web Service Company in 13 western and southern states.

Mac-Gray contracts its laundry rooms under long-term leases on the lessor’s premises for a fixed term, generally 7 to 10 years with an extremely high renewal rate. In exchange for a negotiated portion of the revenue collected. This generates a stable revenue stream and an annuity-like cash flow. Mac-Gray’s laundry facilities business consists of approximately 45,000 multi-housing laundry rooms located in 40 states and the District of Columbia. Their largest competitor is Coinmach Laundry (NASDAQ: WDRY).

Through its MicroFridge® division, Mac-Gray sells its proprietary MicroFridge® line of products, which are combination refrigerators/freezers/microwave ovens utilizing patented Safe Plug™ circuitry. The products are marketed throughout the United States to colleges, the federal government for military housing, hotels and motels, and assisted living facilities. MicroFridge® has also entered into agreements with Maytag Corporation to market Maytag’s Magic Chef®, Amana® and Maytag® lines of home appliances throughout the United States. MicroFridge® products bear the ENERGY STAR® designation.

Mac-Gray enjoys many competitive advantages; one of the most important of which is their innovative use of proprietary technology. In the 1990s, the company introduced Smart Card technology to their industry, giving consumers the largest cashless washer and dryer system in North America. This innovation led to their Intelligent Laundry Systems™ suite of services, which is designed to simplify and modernize doing laundry, both from the point of view of the resident and the property manager or owner. Thousands of people are being notified via computer, cell phone or PDA that their laundry is done, or, for administrators, that service is required. In addition to distinguishing Mac-Gray from its competition, these innovations have created opportunities to enhance their service, reduce their operating expenses and generate incremental revenue for their shareholders.

Their Intelligent Laundry Solutions™ offer amenities to your residents and your property that can bring unparalleled efficiencies to the laundry process.

LaundryView™ is a web-based system that lets residents check the availability of washers and dryers from their PC. They can receive notification via computer, cell phone or PDA when their cycle has completed.

LaundryLinx™ provides property administrators with a direct link to service dispatch via the Internet for faster response time.

TechLinx™ sends service requests directly to the nearest technician’s phone where ever they are via a instant message in seconds.

VentSnake™ a revolutionary technology that cleans more efficiently than brushes and allows cleaning of vents from the outside, while dryers are working.

With the exception of the fourth quarter in 1999, Mac-Gray has been profitable in every quarter of its very long history. The national housing market (estimated to include 3.4 million laundry machines, $2 billion in revenues) is highly fragmented: Mac-Gray and its two largest competitors account for only 1/3 of total laundry facilities management revenues, providing growth and consolidation opportunities. Closing at $ 8.69 on May 2nd (+.13) Mac-Gray’s is changing the way people view their laundry.

Many a old timer from Merrill Lynch will recognize this as a "Jack Fields" stock pick. Jack made his money by buying solid stocks in fragmented industries. His thesis was simple, the high growth glamor stocks are up against other pros. The fragmented industries can grow by gradually taking "Mom and Pop" out of the picture. And please don't cry for "Mom and Pop", they sell to Mac-Gray because the price is right.

Soon you will be able to go onto a Google map on your cell phone, find a Mac-Gray machine and schedule it for use, wherever you happen to be. Technology is helping improve our lives and Mac-Gray has taken advantage of technology to help customers and shareholders.

Important Note: The writers of this blog are amateurs. We invest and write for personal enjoyment. We do not recommend stocks. We offer free consultation but you must be responsible for your own investment decisions!

Philosophy: if you buy a carefully selected and diversified portfolio of common stocks, keep the costs low by avoiding mutual funds and high priced brokerage accounts, trade infrequently and take advantage of tax breaks, you are likely to beat the returns of 90% of all other investors!

Friday, May 27, 2005

WE ARE GETTING OLD!

This morning my wife and I received an email that concluded with "I will fear no evil". Of course, we recognized the quote from the 23rd Psalm. However, when we each tried to recite the Psalm from memory we failed. We are getting old!

We opened an NIV study bible to get over the problem verse and we had no problem finishing from there. We each learned the King James version and were struck by the differences in the NIV version. Here is the NIV version:

The Lord is my shepherd. I shall not be in want.
He makes me lie down in green pastures,
he leads me beside quiet waters,
he restores my soul.
He guides me in paths of righteousness
for his name sake.
Even thought I walk
through the valley of the shadow of death,
I will fear no evil,
for you are with me;
your rod and your staff,
they comfort me.

You prepare a table before me
in the presence of my enemies.
You anoint my head with oil;
my cup overflows.
Surely goodness and love will follow me
all the days of my life,
and I will dwell in the house of the Lord
forever.

A little later in the morning, a real estate attorney asked for social security numbers. For the past 33 years I have always been able to recite mine and my wife's. This morning I mixed the two.

I don't know if there is anything I can do about my memory loss. As an investor, it is clear that I should focus more on health care issues. There are 76 million baby boomers. I think it is a chart in one of Harry Dent's books that shows how 55 year old people take 7 times the number of prescription medicine now as did 55 year old people 20 years or so ago.

David Dreman, a Forbes magazine contributor and the author of a series of books about contrarian investment philosophy, has shown that the time to buy an industry is about a year after it goes through a very tough time. I have not checked the dates but the Merck, Pfizer controversy is old news. Pfizer is 20% below its 2002 high. Companies such as UNH, one of my families long-term holdings, has done extremely well during the tough times for the drug makers. In the normal business cycle, drug stocks do well late in the cycle. Investors should at least be looking at drug stocks.

BUY THE BIG BULL BOOM BUBBLE BEFORE YOU ARE TOO OLD TO ENJOY PROFITS!

#

WRONG WAY RAYMOND JAMES

This morning on Squawk box, a Raymond James executive who is "bullish" on stocks advises buying the losers; he calls them the flops. It is interesting to see how many ways prognosticators can present the wrong information.

Study after study has shown that when a market turns, one should buy the leadership. Buying the laggards, losers or flops has been a consistently poor strategy. Granted, there are sideways markets where traders do well for a while by buying dips and selling peaks. We are not in a sideways market. The NASDAQ was up 8 days in a row, retreated a little the 9th day and then was up 16 points yesterday.

William O'Neil and others have built stock selection programs almost exclusively around the idea that one should buy leaders. Others, such as James O'Shaugnessy, who have focused on value stock selections still include leadership (relative strength) in their selection techniques.

The stocks on our companion STOCK OF THE WEEK blog have value characteristics and leadership characteristics. We are delighted to help those who ask for assistance in building a diversified portfolio. Readers sometimes write to ask for general stock recommendations. As private individual investors, we cannot make recommendations. We regularly report about stocks we own and about those that we are considering for investment.

Our Stock of the Week blog is an excellent list of stocks. The list has many of the characteristics of successful stocks my family bought 40 or 50 years ago. We believe individuals need to make the final decision about the allocations of their assets. However, managing a portfolio is both art and science. Most investors would do well to seek assistance. However, most investors need to avoid high cost assistance. There are often conflicts of interest involved in the "sale" of securities. Mutual fund fees are often very high. Mutual fund fees may appear to be low but there are often multiple fees and the fees are expressed as a percentage of assets.

Keep in mind, that is easy to do average in the stock market and average in the market will make you rich if you invest modest amounts regularly over 30 or 40 years. It is also important to know that consistently doing one standard deviation better than average is extremely difficult. Furthermore, those that try to hard to do better than average typically take much more risk than average. One can fail miserably when one tries too hard.

The game of golf provides a good analogy. With only a few lessons, one can reach a level of skill that makes the game enjoyable if one is not frustrated that others do so much better. To be a great golfer, one needs superior natural ability and the energy and temperament to try and try again.

To be a good investor, one needs discipline and patience. To be a great investor, one must work and work and work. In all things there are exceptions, perhaps Bobby Jones and John Maynard Keynes illustrate the point. Bobby Jones kept his amateur status because he was busy studying to be a doctor. He played golf for fun. Keynes made great investment decisions from his death bed. He could read the news each morning, make a number of shrewd investments and sleep the rest of the day.

JC Morgan made a negative call on US stocks today. My family is buying all we can.

BUY THE BIG BULL--STOCKS ARE CHEAP RELATIVE TO BONDS, REAL ESTATE AND MONEY MARKET INSTUMENTS!

#

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE



Current Value of this Portfolio:
$55.346.97
Simple Return: 16.14%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
S & P 500 Value : $52,252.64
Simple Return: .72%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
Treasury Bond Value : $49,306.14
Simple Return: 2.73%
~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~>~>~~
As you can see, our STOCK OF THE WEEK portfolio has been outperforming equal investments in the
S & P 500 index and in the TLT Treasury Bond index fund.
Past performance does not guarantee future performance. We make no recommendations!
Please call or write if you have questions about how to make money in stocks, bonds and real estate. You can reach me during office hours at 336-778-0543 or write me

.
STOCKS ARE CHEAP RELATIVE TO BONDS AND REAL ESTATE!
MONEY FLOWS TO THE LOWEST PRICED ASSETS!
BUY THE BIG BULL BOOM BUBBLE!
YOU HAVE TWO TO FOUR YEARS TO MAKE SERIOUS MONEY!

#

TELEFLEX: A STRONG FOUNDATION

STOCK OF THE WEEK :


Cheap stocks come in all shapes, sizes and industries. This fact makes building a diversified portfolio a joy. It is almost like a good Easter Egg Hunt; some of the best finds take a little more effort but they can be the most rewarding. Investors are hiding from any firm that has anything to do with auto production. Smart investors buy what other investors do not want.

Teleflex Incorporated, Located in Limerick, PA., has designed and manufactured specialty engineered products for more than 60 years. As a leading global supplier to the automotive, marine, industrial, medical and aerospace markets, they are experts in the markets they serve and dedicated to customer service. Teleflex strives to design real-world solutions with products that are practical, cost-effective and reliable. Today, they have revenues exceeding $2 billion, operate in 27 countries, have more than 19,000 employees, and more than 800 patents. Truly a global corporation, Teleflex derives over 40 percent of its revenues from exports and has numerous manufacturing, repair and service facilities in Europe and Asia. Teleflex has a very active international growth program.

Teleflex’s common stock is listed on the NYSE under the symbol TFX The company has increased its cash dividend every year since it began paying dividends in 1977. Jeffrey P. Black, President and CEO of Teleflex recently announced that a cash dividend of ($0.22) per share of common stock would be paid this year. The company offers both a Dividend Reinvestment & Direct Stock Purchase and Sale Plan.

The company is made up of three very different business segments:

Teleflex Aerospace supports commercial and military aircraft, and industrial gas and steam turbines with: comprehensive engineering solutions, in-house design and manufacturing, cargo-handling systems, round-the-clock AOG repairs and spares support.

Teleflex Medical supports health providers along the continuum of care in three main areas: devices for urology, anesthesiology, gastroenterology and respiratory care, surgical instruments and related services and original equipment manufacturers.

Teleflex Commercial business segment consists of three (3) divisions: Teleflex Automotive supplies passenger cars and light trucks with: gearshift mechanisms and knobs, transmission guide controls, electronic throttle control pedals, pedal systems and control cables. Teleflex Industrial product group serves a variety of global industrial markets by designing and manufacturing: gearshift systems, engine and power management controls, light-duty cable systems, fluid handling systems, alternative fuel components and systems. Teleflex Marine cuts through the water as many recreational and commercial boaters depend on them for: mechanical and hydraulic steering systems, throttle and shift controls, marine electronics, engine and drive parts, and marine instrumentation.

The 2005 financial outlook for Teleflex Incorporated, as reported by their President and CEO, Jeffrey P. Black, "From our vantage point today, 2005 looks like it will be a strong year for the company. A focus on cash flow management should increase cash flow from operations by 20 to 25 percent year over year. Cost benefits from the restructuring and divestiture program, accretion from the Hudson Respiratory Care http://www.hudsonrci.com/ acquisition, and the positive impact of portfolio changes in 2004 should improve operating margins across all three business segments. The actions we have taken and our strong balance sheet will enable us to pursue strategic acquisitions in the years ahead." Black added, "In 2005, we will be focused on completing planned divestitures and continuing to execute our announced restructuring program while providing customers with a seamless transition. Fluctuating foreign currency markets, increased corporate costs, and increased tax rates could present some near-term challenges. However, on balance we believe that the benefits of the restructuring program and continued solid core growth will create earnings growth in 2005 and provide a strong foundation for profitable growth in 2006 and beyond."

On Wednesday, May 25th the stock closed at $55.03. Their 52 week high was $56.50 on 5/19/05 and 52 week low was $40.37 on 9/23/04. I thought it was interesting that their stock has split 6 times in the last 27 years. In fact 4 of the 6 times it split in the month of June.

First quarter revenue increased 8% or $626.0 million, compared to $579.7 million for the same period last year. Strong 1st quarter, stock price stock price, restructing well underway and a promising aquisition in the works--what is not to like?

#

Thursday, May 19, 2005

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE



Current Value of this Portfolio:
$46,229.53
Simple Return: 16.49%
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S & P 500 Value : $43,936.57
Simple Return: .01%
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Treasury Bond Value : $41,125.08
Simple Return: 2.82%
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As you can see, overall individual stocks are outperforming the
S & P 500 and Treasury Bonds with great success.
We sold RGX and took a tax loss of $1024. The proceeds were reinvested in this weeks Stock pick: J. Alexander's
BUY THE BIG BULL BOOM BUBBLE!
Past performance does not guarantee future performance. We make no recommendations!
If you want to talk about the market feel free to call me during office hours at 336-778-0543 or write me

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J. Alexander's not your Normal Restaurant

STOCK OF THE WEEK

The oil bubble has popped. Consumers are relieved. After the bills are paid there's a little something left over. It's time to go out to eat.

symbol JAX trades on the American Stock Exchange. The restaurant was formed by three Nashville businessmen in 1971. They operate 27 locations through out Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Ohio, Illinois, Michigan, Kansas, Colorado, and Texas. Jack C. Massey was the company’s principal shareholder, and served as chairman until his death in 1990.

Jack Massey one of the legends in American business, was one of the first health care pioneers founding Hospital Corporation of America (HCA). He is best known in the restaurant industry for his purchase of Kentucky Fried Chicken from Colonel Harland Sanders in 1962. He was chairman of KFC when it listed on the New York stock exchange in 1981. He is the only person to have chaired three companies that listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

Lonnie J. Stout, II is the Company’s current Chairman President and CEO. Under his direction, the company has repositioned all of its assets exclusively into upscale casual dining. The objective is to develop a contemporary American restaurant that focuses on high quality food, outstanding service and great value, but not to rely on gimmicks or themes to be successful. Their concept is an absolute commitment to quality in every aspect of the business. Fresh, high quality, prepared in-house food is the backbone of the concept.

J. Alexander’s differs from most casual dining concepts. The company uses a variety of architectural designs and building finishes to provide its guests with the most attractive environments in the restaurant industry. Original artwork is used as décor accents. J. Alexander’s is not a cookie cutter concept! They are a collection of restaurants dedicated to providing the best dining experience in their segment of the industry. Featuring an interesting array of in-house chef prepared products. Their award-winning menu features hardwood-grilled steaks, baby back ribs, daily fresh seafood selections, soups, burgers and sandwiches.

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Friday, May 06, 2005


May 6, 2005
Current Value of this Portfolio:
$44,812.61
Simple Return: 10.12%
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S & P 500 Value : $43,034.75
Simple Return: -2.04%
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Treasury Bond Value : $40,534.81
Simple Return: 1.35%
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Continental Airlines has done well for the past 3 months in the face of a tough market.

American Airlines, US Gypsum and Gamestop also top our list with 25%,26%, and 29% increases respectively. As you can see, overall individual stocks are outperforming the
S & P 500.
BUY THE BIG BULL BOOM BUBBLE!
Past performance does not guarantee future performance. We make no recommendations!

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Sunday, May 01, 2005

STOCK OF THE WEEK: MAC-GRAY


Midnight, musty college dorm basement, dirty laundry, not enough quarters and no empty machines! Sound familiar? I wish Mac-Gray had been around during my college days. Mac-Gray offers payment of laundry through college ID cards, allows one to schedule a machine online and the washer will send an email when the load is done!

Years ago, when one of my high school friends needed spending money, he would asked his Dad for the keys to the apartment laundry. In those days, when a gallon of gas was 27 cents and a burger at McDonald's cost 17 cents (15 cents for fries), the quarters from the laundry came in handy. Years latter, as owners of Myrtle Beach rental condos, Marilyn and I enjoyed hearing the stories about the condo operator who has three basement freezers full of quarters. One owner of a few apartment laundromats used to rent our highest priced condo for multiple summer weeks. There is money to be made in the "coin operated" laundry business.

However, the nature of the business is changing. There are still many "Mom and Pop" competitors but smart companies like Mac-Gray are gradually taking over. By replacing the quarter slots with card readers, these companies are eliminating much of the theft and vandalism that plagued the industry in years gone bye while making price adjustments easy, maximizing profit margins and increasing management efficiency.

Mac-Gray is North America’s premier laundry facilities contractor and a provider of other amenities to the multi-housing industry. Mac-Gray http://www.macgray.com/index.html operates two primary businesses – Laundry Facilities Management and Product Sales. Trading on the NYSE under (TUC) since 1997, the company is the nation’s largest laundry facilities contractor for colleges and universities, operating on approximately 500 campuses.

The founder, H. Stewart Gray, sold Maytag wringer washers door-to-door from the back of his Ford truck. During the Great Depression, when most people could not afford their own appliances, he pioneered the “pay as you use” laundry service by installing coin boxes on washing machines. More about the "new" business later but first lets go over the numbers.

Mac-Gray reported record fourth-quarter revenue of $49.7 million, an increase of 23% from 2003 fourth-quarter. For the year ended December 31, 2004, the company reported record revenue of $182.7 million, an increase of 22% from revenue of $149.7 million for 2003.

"For the full year, our results reflect the combination of both record internal growth and record acquisition-related growth. Our core laundry facilities management business posted a 30% increase to $136.7 million in 2004 versus $104.8 million in 2003. The incremental acquisition revenue in 2004 was $28.3 million, in line with our stated projection of an annual run rate of $29 million, and 89% of the division's increase. The margin contribution also met our expectation, as has our success rate in retaining or renegotiating acquired contracts. The organic growth rate of 3%, or $3.6 million, in the division's revenue reflected a record number of net new contracts placed in service, selective vend price increases, and the conversion of coin-operated accounts to card-operation, which leads to higher revenue.” said Stewart MacDonald, Mac-Gray's chairman and chief executive officer.

"The outlook for Mac-Gray is stronger than at any point in recent history, in light of our 2004 results, our second significant asset acquisition, which closed in January 2005,* and our organic growth momentum. With this recent acquisition, which had 2004 revenue of $69.5 million, we extended our footprint to a national scale, augmented our position as the top provider to the college and university market and enhanced our strong, geographically diversified operating platform. In addition, we gained many more opportunities for leveraging our fixed costs through fill-in acquisitions that would increase our density and profitability in certain targeted markets."
"Additionally, apartment occupancy rates, which are a key driver of machine usage and laundry facilities revenue, improved in 2004 in most of our markets, reversing a three-year downturn. Mac-Gray is well positioned as it continues to lead the industry in technology innovation. Our Intelligent Laundry Systems(TM) product suite, led by LaundryView(TM) and PrecisionWash(TM), continues to increase our visibility in the academic community and differentiate us from the competition” concluded MacDonald.

*January 05 Mac-Gray announced its acquisition of the operations of Web Service Company in 13 western and southern states.

Mac-Gray contracts its laundry rooms under long-term leases on the lessor’s premises for a fixed term, generally 7 to 10 years with an extremely high renewal rate. In exchange for a negotiated portion of the revenue collected. This generates a stable revenue stream and an annuity-like cash flow. Mac-Gray’s laundry facilities business consists of approximately 45,000 multi-housing laundry rooms located in 40 states and the District of Columbia. Their largest competitor is Coinmach Laundry (NASDAQ: WDRY).

Through its MicroFridge® division, Mac-Gray sells its proprietary MicroFridge® line of products, which are combination refrigerators/freezers/microwave ovens utilizing patented Safe Plug™ circuitry. The products are marketed throughout the United States to colleges, the federal government for military housing, hotels and motels, and assisted living facilities. MicroFridge® has also entered into agreements with Maytag Corporation to market Maytag’s Magic Chef®, Amana® and Maytag® lines of home appliances throughout the United States. MicroFridge® products bear the ENERGY STAR® designation.

Mac-Gray enjoys many competitive advantages; one of the most important of which is their innovative use of proprietary technology. In the 1990s, the company introduced Smart Card technology to their industry, giving consumers the largest cashless washer and dryer system in North America. This innovation led to their Intelligent Laundry Systems™ suite of services, which is designed to simplify and modernize doing laundry, both from the point of view of the resident and the property manager or owner. Thousands of people are being notified via computer, cell phone or PDA that their laundry is done, or, for administrators, that service is required. In addition to distinguishing Mac-Gray from its competition, these innovations have created opportunities to enhance their service, reduce their operating expenses and generate incremental revenue for their shareholders.

Their Intelligent Laundry Solutions™ offer amenities to your residents and your property that can bring unparalleled efficiencies to the laundry process.

LaundryView™ is a web-based system that lets residents check the availability of washers and dryers from their PC. They can receive notification via computer, cell phone or PDA when their cycle has completed.

LaundryLinx™ provides property administrators with a direct link to service dispatch via the Internet for faster response time.

TechLinx™ sends service requests directly to the nearest technician’s phone where ever they are via a instant message in seconds.

VentSnake™ a revolutionary technology that cleans more efficiently than brushes and allows cleaning of vents from the outside, while dryers are working.

With the exception of the fourth quarter in 1999, Mac-Gray has been profitable in every quarter of its very long history. The national housing market (estimated to include 3.4 million laundry machines, $2 billion in revenues) is highly fragmented: Mac-Gray and its two largest competitors account for only 1/3 of total laundry facilities management revenues, providing growth and consolidation opportunities. Closing at $ 8.69 on May 2nd (+.13) Mac-Gray’s is changing the way people view their laundry.

Many a old timer from Merrill Lynch will recognize this as a "Jack Fields" stock pick. Jack made his money by buying solid stocks in fragmented industries. His thesis was simple, the high growth glamor stocks are up against other pros. The fragmented industries can grow by gradually taking "Mom and Pop" out of the picture. And please don't cry for "Mom and Pop", they sell to Mac-Gray because the price is right.

Soon you will be able to go onto a Google map on your cell phone, find a Mac-Gray machine and schedule it for use, wherever you happen to be. Technology is helping improve our lives and Mac-Gray has taken advantage of technology to help customers and shareholders.

Important Note: The writers of this blog are amateurs. We invest and write for personal enjoyment. We do not recommend stocks. We offer free consultation but you must be responsible for your own investment decisions!

Philosophy: if you buy a carefully selected and diversified portfolio of common stocks, keep the costs low by avoiding mutual funds and high priced brokerage accounts, trade infrequently and take advantage of tax breaks, you are likely to beat the returns of 90% of all other investors!

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